Chip-equipment shares drop following reported TSMC setback, however analysts see shopping for alternative

Shares of chip-equipment suppliers fell Friday following a report that third-party chip fab Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. was delaying deliveries to a facility beneath development in Arizona due to considerations about demand.

The Reuters report, which cited two unnamed sources, stated that TSMC
TSM,
-2.43%
was trying to management prices with its newest directive to suppliers.

While U.S. shares of TSMC fell 2.4% in Friday buying and selling to shut at $89.25, the PHLX Semiconductor Index
SOX
fell 3%. Shares of chip-equipment suppliers KLA Corp.
KLAC,
-5.35%
and Lam Research Corp.
LRCX,
-5.08%
closed down greater than 5%.

Applied Materials Inc.
AMAT,
-4.37%
shares declined 4.4% to shut at $138.25, and ASML NV
ASML,
-4.06%
closed down 4.1%.

Shares of GlobalFoundries Inc.
GFS,
-4.41%,
one other third-party fab, shed 4.4%, whereas Advanced Micro Devices Inc. shares
AMD,
-4.82%
dropped 4.8% and Lattice Semiconductor Corp. shares
LSCC,
-5.09%
fell 5.1%.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500
SPX
closed down 1.2% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP
declined 1.6%.

Citi Research analyst Atif Malik argued that the report was “no new news,” and stated he considered any pullback within the chip-equipment subsector as a shopping for alternative.

“We word that tools makers like Tokyo Electron
8035,
+3.11%
and Applied Materials have already talked about modern weak spot this 12 months offset by mature logic power,” Malik stated in a Friday word. Shares of Tokyo Electron rose 3.1% in Tokyo buying and selling.

At Citi’s latest international tech convention, Malik stated Tokyo Electron had talked about seeing some quantity of modern push-outs for about one to 2 quarters, whereas KLA stated it has greater than $900 million in deposits on mature logic tasks.

Late Thursday, earlier than the Reuters report, Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis launched a word, observing that since 2022, inventory efficiency for the semiconductor capital tools, or SCE, subsector has correlated to superior packaging publicity.

Advanced packaging is the trade workaround for the slowing of Moore’s Law, which states the variety of transistors on a chip ought to double each two years, making the chips sooner, smaller and extra environment friendly. Whether the legislation has been damaged is a subject for debate amongst chip CEOs. While Nvidia Corp.’s
NVDA,
-3.69%
Jensen Huang contends that Moore’s Law is lifeless, Intel Corp.’s
INTC,
-2.04%
Pat Gelsinger maintains it’s nonetheless legitimate.

Either means, Lipacis believes that the unit progress of chips utilizing superior packaging will improve by 10 instances to 90 million pocket book central processing items in 2024, from 2023’s 9 million data-center CPUs/graphics processing items which can be anticipated to energy generative AI and enormous language fashions.

“The bull case is that LLMs get inferenced in the handset,” Lipacis stated. Should that occur, he stated to count on the whole addressable marketplace for superior packaging to extend by one other 10 instances.

“LLMs with a large number of parameters could require larger chips in smartphones that need advanced packaging, potentially as early as 2025,” Lipacis stated. “We estimate the number of premium cellphones at 550 million and TAM at around 1.3 billion.”

The Jefferies analyst famous that Applied Materials, Lam and KLA, together with Camtek Ltd.
CAMT,
-0.65%,
Onto Innovation Inc.
ONTO,
-4.18%
and Disco Corp.
6146,
+1.10%,
“remain top picks.”

Wolfe Research analyst Chris Caso, who initiated protection of the SCE group in a word dated Thursday, referred to as Applied Materials his prime decide, saying he considers the corporate “the most balanced exposure to leading edge, lagging edge, and memory while being best positioned to outperform [wafer fab equipment makers] with process and material innovations.”

Caso gave outperform rankings to Applied Materials, ASML, KLA and Lam.

Source web site: www.marketwatch.com

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