Intel earnings: What to count on on PC, data-center, and AI traits

Intel Corp.’s upcoming earnings report is predicted to be a busy one because the chip maker discusses traits within the personal-computing and data-center markets, in addition to the budding alternative in synthetic intelligence.

The outcomes, due out Thursday after the closing bell, come as Intel’s inventory
INTC,
+0.90%
has loved a pointy 50%-plus transfer larger for the reason that firm final introduced its numbers to Wall Street.

Read: Missed the boat on AMD’s inventory surge? Why this analyst says you’re not too late.

That rally “has raised the bar on expectations,” HSBC analyst Frank Lee wrote in a latest report.

“We acknowledged Intel’s improving execution especially on its PC client side with its improving market share,” Lee continued, and he thinks the corporate’s income and gross margins for the most recent interval will fall roughly according to the consenus view.

At the identical time, he sees “little room for further earnings upside in the near-term” given latest growth within the inventory’s price-to-earnings a number of.

Here’s what to look at for within the fourth-quarter numbers.

Don’t miss: Intel’s ‘make-or-break year’ will put inventory’s latest surge to the check

What to count on

Earnings: The FactSet consensus requires 45 cents in adjusted fourth-quarter earnings per share, in contrast with 10 cents within the year-earlier interval.

Revenue: Analysts tracked by FactSet count on that Intel generated $15.2 billion in income for the fourth quarter, in contrast with $14.0 billion within the year-prior quarter.

Consensus estimates name for a 28% bump in income, to $8.5 billion, for Intel’s client-computing unit, which is its greatest. Data-center and AI income is forecast to say no about 5% to $4.1 billion.

Stock motion: Intel shares have gained after every of the corporate’s previous three earnings experiences, together with after they logged a 9% enhance after the latest one. The inventory is up 68% over the previous 12 months, and it’s gained 52% over the previous three months.

Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cowl Intel’s inventory, 9 have purchase rankings, 27% have maintain rankings, and 6 have promote rankings, with a mean worth goal of $44.04 that’s about 12% under latest ranges.

What else to count on

HSBC’s Lee will likely be watching the corporate’s commentary on the PC enterprise. “In particular, we believe there could be some downside risk to bullish consensus expectations of its PC client sales of [$7.7 billion] based on recent weakness in the overall PC supply chain,” he wrote.

Executives might focus on the marketplace for AI PCs, which Intel has been betting on.

“For the PC [total addressable market] beyond [the fourth quarter], we see the introduction of AI PCs with Meteor Lake’s recent debut (followed by Arrow Lake, Lunar Lake, and Panther Lake as a follow-on in 2025) as well-positioned, as client-side inference workloads grow in importance,” TD Cowen’s Matthew Ramsey wrote.

As for AI usually, Bernstein’s Stacy Rasgon stated that is the yr that buyers will begin to see “if there is anything really behind the company’s AI narrative.”

“At this point it still seems incremental (at best); the company has suggested [roughly $2 billion] in [the] Gaudi pipeline, but we still have no real good idea as to how much of that pipeline is committed, or anything really on timing (and $2B is small given Intel’s size),” he continued.

Meanwhile, Wolfe Research analyst Chris Caso stated he noticed the potential for some danger to Intel’s first-quarter figures, “though that’s also more about poor modeling than deteriorating conditions.”

See additionally: Nvidia is now not Morgan Stanley’s prime chip choose. A a lot totally different identify is.

Source web site: www.marketwatch.com

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