Almost a should win: World Cup hopes already on the road for Australia and Sri Lanka

Big Picture

Even in a event with 9 group-stage matches which permits room for a slip up or two, you do not wish to be 0-3 early within the competitors. But that is precisely the scenario which is able to confront one in all Australia and Sri Lanka after they face off in Lucknow in what already shapes as a contest to retain practical semi-final hopes. It has been a tricky begin for either side, however two factors on this fixture will revive perception that they’ll nonetheless problem for the highest 4.

The struggles of Australia, with their World Cup pedigree, are creating headlines. They have been handed a demanding begin to the event by going through hosts India and a assured South Africa, however they’ve been considerably off the tempo in all three disciplines. Sri Lanka have managed to place runs on the board – greater than 300 each towards South Africa and Pakistan – however their downside has been that they’ve conceded runs at a good increased fee: 773 from 98.2 overs in two video games at 7.86 runs an over, which means even Kusal Mendis’ glowing century towards Pakistan wasn’t sufficient.

To add to their issues, they’ve misplaced captain Dasun Shanaka to a tournament-ending harm, which suggests Mendis will now tackle the captaincy. However, despite the fact that the bowlers have been put to the sword, the spinners will fancy their probabilities of having an affect towards the Australians.

In what was fairly an un-Australian transfer, they made two adjustments after only one match. The omission of Cameron Green was largely anticipated towards South Africa, however the axing of Alex Carey was a serious speaking level even when his kind had been patchy. They are nonetheless competing with a 14-player squad, with Travis Head but to rejoin the group, and it is solely Sean Abbott who has but to function.

The batting is turning into a priority with nobody but to succeed in a half century – Australia presently have the bottom batting common of any group within the event at 18.80, and have failed to succeed in 200 within the first two outings.

In ODIs, the newest conferences between these groups got here in mid-2022 in a five-match collection, when Sri Lanka had prevailed 3-2.

Form information

(Last 5 matches, most up-to-date first)

Australia LLWLL
Sri Lanka LLLWL

In the highlight: Adam Zampa and Kusal Mendis

Australia gambled of their remaining squad by not changing Ashton Agar with a like-for-like participant, and whereas Glenn Maxwell has held up his finish of the discount along with his part-time offspin, their issues have been compounded by a uncommon lack of kind for Adam Zampa. Since taking 4 for 48 in Bloemfontein, he has claimed 7 for 430 with an financial system of seven.41 in six video games. Zampa battled niggling accidents main into the event, whereas former captain Aaron Finch stated he additionally has a hip downside, and is presently struggling to both take wickets or preserve the financial system fee down.

“Don’t think he’s bowled as much in the lead up as he would have in the past,” Finch informed ESPNcricinfo. “He’s had neck and shoulder issues. I know he’s got a bit of a hip niggle at the moment. Whether that’s just affecting him technically slightly – legspin bowling is not my expertise – but he didn’t bowl [at] his absolute best against India. But you are also bowling against the best players in the world. I think back to the first over he bowled, and he got cut for two boundaries. One of them was a good ball – might have hit the top of off stump to KL [Rahu] – and it slides past backward point for four. Then you are on the back foot because your best ball has been hit for four. You start overthinking it at times and you might stray away from your No. 1 plan.”

On the flip facet, Kusal Mendis is in spectacular kind. If you embody his warm-up innings towards Afghanistan, he has made 356 runs in his final three knocks, along with his 122 off 77 balls towards Pakistan a career-best in ODIs. But the query will probably be whether or not he can maintain such a free-flowing nature with the extra burden of captaincy, including to an intensive workload with him additionally being the wicketkeeper. Mendis has a superb one-day report towards Australia, averaging 50.33 from 11 innings.

Team news: Australia seemingly unchanged; Sri Lanka want reinforcements

Australia are prone to be unchanged, which suggests Josh Inglis will retain the holding gloves, however there may be strain on the large three quicks to carry their sport and make early inroads. There have beforehand been points with Marcus Stoinis taking part in back-to-back matches however he solely bowled two overs towards South Africa, in order that should not be an element.

Australia (possible): 1 David Warner, 2 Mitchell Marsh, 3 Steven Smith, 4 Marnus Labuschagne, 5 Josh Inglis (wk), 6 Glenn Maxwell, 7 Marcus Stoinis, 8 Mitchell Starc, 9 Pat Cummins (capt), 10 Adam Zampa, 11 Josh Hazlewood

Shanaka has been dominated out of the event, changed by Chamika Karunaratne, a bustling seam bowler and a hard-hitting lower-order bat, who might come straight into the combination. They might also be with out slingy quick bowler Matheesha Pathirana, who has a proper shoulder downside and is “under observation” in keeping with the group supervisor.

Sri Lanka (possible): 1 Pathum Nissanka, 2 Kusal Perera, 3 Kusal Mendis (capt, wk), 4 Sadeera Samarawickrama, 5 Charith Asalanka, 6 Dhananjaya de Silva, 7 Dunith Wellalage, 8 Chamika Karunaratne, 9 Maheesh Theekshana, 10 Kasun Rajitha, 11 Dilshan Madushanka

Pitch and circumstances

The floor on the Ekana Stadium had obtained trickier because the match wore on when Australia confronted South Africa, and it had definitely nipped round for the quicks within the second half. That could have a bearing on what the captain who wins the toss decides to do. However, Pat Cummins and Shanaka, earlier than his harm, had received each their tosses, performed various things every time, and watched their group get overwhelmed on every event. So they could simply wish to depart it to the opposite to resolve. Meanwhile, it is set to be one other scorching day in Lucknow.

Stats and trivia

  • Sri Lanka haven’t overwhelmed Australia in seven makes an attempt at an ODI World Cup since they claimed the title in 1996.
  • Australia have caught barely half their possibilities within the first two matches: eight from 14. It offers them the bottom catch proportion of all of the groups up to now at this World Cup.
  • Quotes

    “A lot of Australian teams, when they’re backed into a corner, play their best cricket. We find ourselves in a corner early on in this tournament, but we’ve got to come out and put in a really good performance against Sri Lanka.”
    Mitchell Marsh is hopeful that Australia will hit again earlier than it will get too late

    Andrew McGlashan is a deputy editor at ESPNcricinfo

    Source web site: www.espncricinfo.com

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