Will Sri Lanka’s excellent preparation reap rewards in New Zealand?

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“Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouf.” – Mike Tyson (quote reproduced right here within the authentic Tysonian)

Sri Lanka’s preparation for this Test collection has very almost been ideally suited. Before the squad even assembled, most have been enjoying within the four-day National Super League, Sri Lanka’s prime first-class competitors. They then had a residential camp on the newly-refurbished floor at Radella (roughly 1330 metres above sea degree), a venue whose circumstances – each by way of the local weather and the seam motion the floor provides – intention to emulate what Sri Lanka predict in New Zealand.

In the age of intense scheduling strain from franchise tournaments, and bilateral white-ball fixtures, this was as clear an strategy to a Test collection as Sri Lanka has had in years.

But how a lot will this preparation have helped when the groups make first contact at Hagley Oval? It is a venue at which New Zealand have decked them twice. In 2014, New Zealand’s quicks tore by Sri Lanka to dismiss them for 138, after New Zealand had plundered 441 at a run price of over 5. In 2018, Trent Boult and Tim Southee skittled them for 104 earlier than Tom Latham and Henry Nicholls hit massive tons of, New Zealand establishing a lead of 659 within the second innings.

Essentially, it comes down as to whether Sri Lanka’s batters can compete within the first innings. If they’re blown away, as they’d been on the 2 earlier events, New Zealand will seemingly management the sport. Even if they do not, New Zealand may again themselves to make enormous floor within the again finish of the sport, having simply crushed England after being requested to comply with on.

Sri Lanka’s seemingly assault can be notably inexperienced, with Vishwa Fernando, Kasun Rajitha, Asitha Fernando, and Prabath Jayasuriya having performed 17, 13, seven, and three Tests, respectively. Sri Lanka’s likeliest path to competitiveness is for the skilled batting order (Mendis, Dimuth Karunaratne and Angelo Mathews have all hit troublesome tons of in New Zealand) to place up severe runs. New Zealand’s assault is probably not what it was three years in the past, however at Hagley Oval, this stays a frightening ask.

Form information

New Zealand WLDDL (final 5 Tests, most up-to-date first)
Sri Lanka WLWLW

In the highlight

Eight extra runs, and Kane Williamson will full 1000 in opposition to Sri Lanka. The solely different aspect he has reached this milestone in opposition to is Pakistan. He has solely joined the squad on the eve of the match, having had a bereavement in his household. But he’s contemporary off an impressive hundred in opposition to England in his final outing, and no batter will fear the Sri Lanka assault greater than him.

Among Sri Lanka batters, Angelo Mathews has the very best file in New Zealand. Thanks largely to his scores on the final tour, the place he made 83, 120*, 33* and 22*, he averages 55.88 within the nation. Once Sri Lanka’s busiest cricketer, Mathews has largely been a Test specialist over the previous two years. Last 12 months no less than, this appears to have had a constructive impact on his Test batting, as he hit 615 runs at a median of 51.25. He is coming off a good stretch of scores too, having made a first-class century within the first half of February.

Pitch and circumstances

The floor is more likely to begin off inexperienced, as they typically do at this venue. Towards the tip of the match, nonetheless, it’s more likely to flatten out. There is a few rain forecast for the primary two days.

Team news

New Zealand are more likely to have a four-man seam assault, consisting of captain Tim Southee, Neil Wagner, and possibly Matt Henry and Blair Tickner.

New Zealand (possible): 1 Tom Latham, 2 Devon Conway, 3 Kane Williamson, 4 Henry Nicholls, 5 Daryl Mitchell, 6 Tom Blundell (wk), 7 Michael Bracewell, 8 Tim Southee (capt), 9 Matt Henry, 10 Neil Wagner, 11 Blair Tickner

Sri Lanka might think about fielding Lahiru Kumara for his tempo, however his tendency to interrupt down in Test matches might sway them in the direction of the extra dependable choices of Vishwa and Asitha.

Sri Lanka (possible): 1 Oshada Fernando, 2 Dimuth Karunaratne (capt), 3 Kusal Mendis, 4 Angelo Mathew, 5 Dinesh Chandimal, 6 Dhananjaya de Silva, 7 Niroshan Dickwella, 8 Vishwa Fernando, 9 Kasun Rajitha, 10 Prabath Jayasuriya, 11 Asitha Fernando

Stats and trivia

  • Sri Lanka have gained solely two of their 19 Tests in New Zealand. Since their final win in 2006, they’ve misplaced 5 of their six Tests within the nation.
  • If Sri Lanka win the collection 2-0, they provide themselves an opportunity of constructing the World Test Championship last. But even then, India must lose or draw their final Test in opposition to Australia for Sri Lanka to be in rivalry.
  • New Zealand haven’t gained a single collection on this World Test Championship cycle. The final time they accomplished a Test collection victory at house was in early 2021.

“We pride ourselves as a team in trying not to get too high or too low – to try and stay level. All that’s in the past. We’ve got another Test match to focus on. At the end of the season you sit down and have a beer and reflect on those moments. It all feels like a bit of blur, but you’ve got to put it behind yourself now.”

New Zealand seamer Neil Wagner, on how the staff is trying to concentrate on Sri Lanka, following the spectacular Test in opposition to England in Wellington.

“Often we tour New Zealand in December, but this time we are here in March, when it’s warmer. I think this pitch will get drier faster and there will be some support for the spinners from earlier in the game. Even in the England-New Zealand series, the spinners had taken some wickets. There’s a big chance that a spinner will play in the XI, in addition to Dhananjaya de Silva.”

Sri Lanka captain Dimuth Karunaratne on fielding a specialist spinner within the XI.

Andrew Fidel Fernando is ESPNcricinfo’s Sri Lanka correspondent. @afidelf

Source web site: www.espncricinfo.com

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